- Volatility Key To "Snap Back Rally"
- The Good News And Bad News From Black Friday
- Forget Seasonal Trends And Santa Claus Effect
- Electronic Firms Show Downturn In Consumer Spending
- We've Had The Rally, What About That Bottom? Please...
- Getting Primed For Bear Market Rally
- Chrysler Spreading Word of Its Turnaround Plan?
- Earnings For 2009 Nearly Impossible To Figure
- Home Builders "Stars" Of The Day On Street
- Traders "Giddy" Over Mortgage Moves
- What's Got Whitney Worried?
- Holland's Bear Advice: Buy the Survivors
- Analyst Picks: Three Resilient Retailers
- Volvo Sale Would Signal Big Changes For Big 3
- Rustling Through the Bargain Bin for Retail Stocks
- Ford Options Rev on Possible Volvo Deal
- Shopping J. Crew
- Black Friday Comes Up A Winner For Sports Leagues
- What Depression, Recession?
- Paulson's Speech on the Economy and Financial System
- Paulson: Treasury Devising More Lending Programs
- House Democrats May Seek $500 Billion Stimulus
- Bernanke's Speech to the Austin Chamber of Commerce
- Bernanke Asserts Rate Cuts Alone Won't Cure Economy
- It's Official: US Tumbled Into Recession a Year Ago
- A Generation of Local TV Anchors Is Signing Off
- Where the Layoffs Are—Is Your Firm on the List?
- Pros: Retail Gets Worse Before It Gets Better

The trend in retail continues, with discounters continuing to outperform department stores: Home Depot [HD
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] and Target [TGT
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] beating, Saks [SKS
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] on the light side.
Biggest problem for stocks is that we are once again on the verge of breaking the uptrend from the July lows.
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Housing starts at 965,000 annual units was the slowest since 1991; building permits were well below expectations at 937,000. Remember, at the height of the market a couple of years ago, there were 2.2 MILLION permits issued. While this sounds like bad news, the truth is we need to see a string of really poor numbers like these if we have any hope of working off the high inventory levels.
It's tough to make excuses for the shockingly high PPI number: up 1.2 percent, twice the expectations, and up 0.7 percent on core (ex-food and energy), three times the expectation of a gain of 0.2 percent.
Year over year, headline is now up 9.8 percent, the largest gain since June 1981.
Bears are trying the same trick they used with CPI: saying that with commodities down, this is a backward-looking number. Unfortunately, prices seem to be increasing right across the board, and corporations are clearly indicating that they plan to keep raising prices.
Questions? Comments?

